Somvang - well stated. Necessary infrastructure is the key for Laos to get where she wants to be in the near future. Without proper roads/bridges etc... it would be extremely infeasible to transport products/goods from point A to point B. After these necessary infrastrucutres are up, she can really start producing goods/products/raw materials and cash crops to be exported to larger domestic markets to generate addiotnal revenues for the country. Infrastructures would allow more 'human activities' by generating new ideas/businesses to pop up.
China is notoriously hedious with business ethics and intellectual property protections. This is extremely pleasing to hear that Laos is studying this railway again.
What about oil and gas? Below several hundred meters of Laos there are rock types that may have potential to store hydrocarbon. These rocks are extension of rocks that are found below Thailand to the west. Oil/gas companies have explored/drilled for and successfully found profitable hydrocarbon amount in them.
Quote:Being a landlocked country is clearly a disadvantage for Lao. In order to counterbalance that fact only huge (enormous, gigantic) investments in an "excellent" infrastructure network will really put Lao on the map of the international (regional; Asean) trade. Some efforts have been done, more friendship bridges, a railway connection between Vientiane and Nongkhrai but is clearly not enough. Connection with China through railway is being studied but will this project is really worthwhile for Lao if we take into account the mercantile way of china when they are conducting business.
Lao did not from my point of view really achieved an agriculture revolution. It has huge potential but once again infrastructure is of the essence (irrigation).
Lao is gifted with lots of raw materials and minerals but once again without a proper infrastructure system, how can they export heavy and voluminous loads! Hydro-power could provide industries "cheap" energy which is good for Lao. What about Oil and gas resources?
Concerning the industrial revolution same problem even worst.
They lack the technical skills and the funds (Investors that have the balls to believe into Lao potential). Why produce goods for the domestic market (only 6.5 to 7 millions potential consumers) and not be able to compete on exports ?
Is Lao going to be able to conquer the added value from raw material to finished goods??? This kind of project (scale development) can only be conducted by strong incentives of the state and probably public or mixed companies at the beginning. But officials still have bad habits, they get easily confused with their own purse and the one that have to manage in the name of the people. They will probably fail due to corruption.
Yes Lao does enjoy a relatively "cheap" labor but untrained, unqualified and clearly unproductive. Productivity is one of the major key of competitiveness. As an investor I will not mind paying 2 Vietnamese or Thai and Chinese that do the job of 5 Lao and only cost 3 of them!
It seems that Lao government is focusing into providing better education and training to his citizens. That is encouraging but technical training is difficult to provide due to swift technology changes. Even developed country has difficulties to cope with the speed of evolution in that matter.
Tourism would fuel some of the growth but once again infrastructure is paramount. Lao airlines are 25% to 50% more expensive than Thailand (accommodations,etc... only alcohol is cheaper!)
Concerning services few Lao companies would be able to compete with foreign companies. Their competitors enjoy better expertise, more funds to develop their network (banks, insurances...).
Is the situation of Lao hopeless? I do not think so but much depends on the "wisdom" of the Lao government, would they do the strategical and tactical good choices, would they implement "good practice" management of the wealth of the people?